Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?
market:
Yes 50¢ / No 50¢
· liquidity $44,147 · ends 2026-10-01
·
market page ↗Turns on whether informal statements or plans to replace the Press Secretary count as an 'announcement of a new Press Secretary', or if formally naming a specific designee is required.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Karoline Leavitt between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An individual announced as an acting or interim Press Secretary will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, regardless of when the new Press Secretary is sworn in or begins serving.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rule requires 'announces... a new White House Press Secretary' but doesn't clarify whether speculation/intent about replacement qualifies or if an actual person must be named.
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: SELL Yes $1,411 · BUY No $890 · SELL No $443. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
BUY No
$890 @ 47¢
2026-08-28 · 0x67ac9e1a… · wallet history: $391,648 redeemed / 22 resolutions SELL Yes
$548 @ 72¢
2026-08-19 · 0x233bacfb… · wallet history: $1,563 redeemed / 20 resolutions SELL No
$443 @ 45¢
2026-08-28 · 0x1ee9a5fc… · wallet history: $2,429 redeemed / 18 resolutions SELL Yes
$440 @ 76¢
2026-08-20 · 0x66c1a6fe… · wallet history: $13,539 redeemed / 70 resolutions SELL Yes
$423 @ 62¢
2026-08-25 · 0x2ba586dc… · wallet history: $679 redeemed / 9 resolutions Disputed precedents with similar wording
Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this
market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/next-white-house-press-secretary-announced-by-september-30-2026.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.