Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
market:
Yes 22¢ / No 78¢
· liquidity $62,010 · ends 2026-12-31
·
market page ↗Turns on whether X counts as 'authentic' photography/video vs. AI-generated or mislabeled archival content when authenticity is disputed.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
'Authentic' and 'real' are subjective; no standard for deepfake detection or expert consensus threshold; digital vs. AI-generated boundary is unclear.
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $51,293 · BUY Yes $19,100 · SELL No $14,856 · SELL Yes $10,372. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
BUY No
$29,123 @ 77¢
2026-08-09 · 0xae7fceb5… · wallet history: $39,239 redeemed / 6 resolutions SELL No
$3,750 @ 75¢
2026-08-09 · 0x0f2bcf46… · wallet history: $10,000 redeemed / 6 resolutions BUY No
$3,750 @ 75¢
2026-08-14 · 0x0f2bcf46… · wallet history: $10,000 redeemed / 6 resolutions BUY Yes
$3,000 @ 46¢
2026-08-09 · 0x5abfa414… · wallet history: $0 redeemed / 0 resolutions BUY Yes
$2,465 @ 34¢
2026-08-10 · 0xdbd028b4… · wallet history: $265 redeemed / 19 resolutions BUY No
$2,280 @ 76¢
2026-08-19 · 0xdf17f4a8… · wallet history: $11,042 redeemed / 2 resolutions SELL No
$2,250 @ 75¢
2026-08-18 · 0xae7fceb5… · wallet history: $39,239 redeemed / 6 resolutions SELL Yes
$2,050 @ 29¢
2026-08-12 · 0xdbd028b4… · wallet history: $265 redeemed / 19 resolutions Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/mojtaba-khamenei-seen-in-public-by-december-31.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.