Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
market:
Yes 0¢ / No 100¢
· liquidity $36,620 · ends 2026-09-01
·
market page ↗Turns on whether 'consensus of credible reporting' validating authenticity has sufficient standard against AI-generated or deepfake media with no defined verification threshold.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Rules exclude AI-generated and digitally altered content but rely on 'consensus' to detect this—no threshold given, and AI detection standards are themselves contested.
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $37,377 · SELL No $12,213 · BUY Yes $5,397. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
BUY No
$5,000 @ 88¢
2026-08-09 · 0xb4f2592e… · wallet history: $151,596 redeemed / 49 resolutions SELL No
$3,553 @ 98¢
2026-08-23 · 0xb4fc3b8d… · wallet history: $46,849 redeemed / 25 resolutions SELL No
$2,127 @ 80¢
2026-08-09 · 0x49e94011… · wallet history: $314,027 redeemed / 35 resolutions BUY Yes
$1,692 @ 23¢
2026-08-09 · 0x5abfa414… · wallet history: $0 redeemed / 0 resolutions BUY No
$1,566 @ 97¢
2026-08-19 · 0xcdf82242… · wallet history: $50,008 redeemed / 32 resolutions SELL No
$1,498 @ 92¢
2026-08-09 · 0x57b00c3c… · wallet history: $19,554 redeemed / 13 resolutions SELL No
$1,488 @ 95¢
2026-08-09 · 0xb1a190be… · wallet history: $16,635 redeemed / 29 resolutions BUY No
$1,407 @ 94¢
2026-08-12 · 0x7e31a5e9… · wallet history: $33,459 redeemed / 18 resolutions Disputed precedents with similar wording
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market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
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DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/mojtaba-khamenei-seen-in-public-by-august-31-223.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.