unrekt resolver / dossier

Games Total: O/U 3.5

market: n/a · liquidity $98,696 · ends 2026-08-26 · market page ↗
Turns on whether a series ending via forfeit before the clinching point is considered 'completed' for counting total games.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering

Resolution rules (verbatim)

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between PCIFIC and Team Phoenix in the TCL Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if PCIFIC and Team Phoenix play 4 or more games in this series. If fewer than 4 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Rules text is incomplete (source fallback clause cuts off); ambiguity around 'completed match' when forfeits occur mid-series rather than at clinching

Big money on this market

Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: SELL Under $10,621 · BUY Under $5,218 · BUY Over $4,864. Displayed as evidence of informed interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.

SELL Under $3,836 @ 100¢ 2026-08-26 · 0xe75d7c47… · wallet history: $15,585 redeemed / 10 resolutions
SELL Under $3,180 @ 100¢ 2026-08-26 · 0x6a9fc462… · wallet history: $0 redeemed / 0 resolutions
SELL Under $1,627 @ 100¢ 2026-08-26 · 0xb4548603… · wallet history: $11,490 redeemed / 9 resolutions
SELL Under $1,483 @ 100¢ 2026-08-26 · 0x5ca10d77… · wallet history: $0 redeemed / 2 resolutions
BUY Under $1,139 @ 50¢ 2026-08-26 · 0xe75d7c47… · wallet history: $15,585 redeemed / 10 resolutions
BUY Under $829 @ 50¢ 2026-08-26 · 0x6a9fc462… · wallet history: $0 redeemed / 0 resolutions
BUY Under $728 @ 51¢ 2026-08-26 · 0x5ca10d77… · wallet history: $0 redeemed / 2 resolutions
BUY Over $712 @ 51¢ 2026-08-26 · 0x87256d04… · wallet history: $45,442 redeemed / 21 resolutions

Disputed precedents with similar wording

Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).

Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Will the US not strike another country before 2027? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2026-12-31

Machine-readable

This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/lol-pcific-phx2-2026-08-26-total-games-3pt5.json. Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.

unrekt resolver — independent resolution intelligence for prediction markets. We analyse how markets will resolve (rules, wording, precedent), not what will happen. We hold no positions. Every published read is timestamped and graded by the market's actual resolution. all wording-risk markets