unrekt resolver / dossier

Games Total: O/U 2.5

market: n/a · liquidity $48,069 · ends 2026-08-23 · market page ↗
Turns on whether a series won by opponent forfeit before the series reaches natural conclusion counts as a 'completed match' for game-total purposes.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering

Resolution rules (verbatim)

This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if BNK FEARX and Nongshim Red Force play 3 or more games in this series. If fewer than 3 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Rules create interaction between 'forfeits count if match completed' and 'mid-series forfeit wins → 50-50'; clinching-game exception clarifies intent but leaves mid-series forfeit ambiguous

Big money on this market

Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY Under $1,341 · BUY Over $565. Displayed as evidence of informed interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.

BUY Under $755 @ 85¢ 2026-08-23 · 0x5e8e7771… · wallet history: $96,947 redeemed / 24 resolutions
BUY Under $587 @ 66¢ 2026-08-23 · 0x5e8e7771… · wallet history: $96,947 redeemed / 24 resolutions
BUY Over $565 @ 94¢ 2026-08-23 · 0xd786a8b8… · wallet history: $25,406 redeemed / 54 resolutions

Disputed precedents with similar wording

Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).

Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Will the US not strike another country before 2027? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2026-12-31

Machine-readable

This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/lol-fox1-ns-2026-08-23-total-games-2pt5.json. Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.

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