unrekt resolver / dossier

LAPTOP listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE?

market: Yes 100¢ / No 0¢ · liquidity $18,037 · ends 2026-12-31 · market page ↗
Turns on whether 'actively and publicly tradable' at TGE requires actual trading to be occurring vs the token merely being available for spot trading.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering

Resolution rules (verbatim)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the LAPTOP token is listed for spot trading on the specified exchange within 30 days after the token's launch (TGE). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token referenced in this market is LAPTOP, the token announced by Hunter Biden for launch on Base, as identified by the token's official channels (https://x.com/Laptoptoken) and confirmed by Hunter Biden or his official representatives. The token's launch (TGE) is defined as the first time the token is actively and publicly tradable. A qualifying listing means the token is available for spot trading on the exchange's primary global platform at any point from the token's launch through 11:59 PM ET on the 30th calendar day following the calendar day of launch (measured in ET). Perpetual futures, other derivatives, and pre-launch markets do not qualify. Roadmap additions, listing announcements, and deposit-only support do not qualify unless spot trading is live by the deadline. Listings available only on regional or affiliate platforms (e.g. Binance.US, Binance TR, Binance Alpha, Coinbase International Exchange, Upbit Singapore) do not qualify. A listing qualifies regardless of jurisdictional availability. Spot trading does not need to be accessible in any specific country or region, provided it is live on the exchange's primary global platform. If the LAPTOP token has not launched by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the respective exchanges; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules define TGE as 'actively and publicly tradable' but also say listing means 'available for spot trading'—unclear if token must have active trades or just be listed.

Disputed precedents with similar wording

Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).

Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2027-01-01

Machine-readable

This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/laptop-listed-on-kraken-within-30-days-of-tge.json. Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.

unrekt resolver — independent resolution intelligence for prediction markets. We analyse how markets will resolve (rules, wording, precedent), not what will happen. We hold no positions. Every published read is timestamped and graded by the market's actual resolution. all wording-risk markets