Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
market:
Yes 37¢ / No 63¢
· liquidity $14,369 · ends 2026-10-31
·
market page ↗Turns on how much advance notice qualifies as 'announced or promoted in advance'—hours, days, or weeks are all undefined.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
Ye, formerly known as Kanye West, is scheduled to perform in Russia in October 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West performs live in-person on-stage in front of a live audience in Russia by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The performance must take place at an event that was announced or promoted in advance, and held at a venue such as an arena, stadium, festival ground, concert hall, theater, or club, and is open to an audience by ticket, invitation, or other controlled entry.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rules require advance announcement but set no minimum lead time. A performance announced via social media hours before could be disputed. Secondary wording risk: venue-type definition uses 'such as' (examples or exhaustive?) and 'consensus of credible reporting' is subjective on both thresholds.
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $500 · BUY Yes $476. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
BUY No
$500 @ 73¢
2026-08-24 · 0x07a9bf6d… · wallet history: $390,546 redeemed / 125 resolutions BUY Yes
$476 @ 75¢
2026-08-22 · 0xf3505345… · wallet history: $19,264 redeemed / 101 resolutions Disputed precedents with similar wording
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Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/kanye-west-performs-in-russia-by-october-31.json.
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