Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
market:
Yes 2¢ / No 98¢
· liquidity $138,280 · ends 2026-12-31
·
market page ↗Turns on whether X counts as 'incontrovertible proof' of Epstein being alive—the bar for proof rigor is undefined.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if incontrovertible proof is publicly revealed that Jeff Epstein, the New York financier, is still alive between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
No definition of what rigor/type of evidence qualifies as 'incontrovertible'; 'consensus of credible sources' is subjective.
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: SELL No $87,100 · BUY No $23,262 · SELL Yes $1,681. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
SELL No
$10,637 @ 98¢
2026-07-19 · 0xe7499538… · wallet history: $337,989 redeemed / 39 resolutions SELL No
$10,333 @ 97¢
2026-06-07 · 0xc84f7e76… · wallet history: $0 redeemed / 1 resolutions SELL No
$8,787 @ 97¢
2026-08-05 · 0xdc4f0872… · wallet history: $526,776 redeemed / 16 resolutions SELL No
$7,678 @ 95¢
2026-05-24 · 0x79b6ced6… · wallet history: $134,044 redeemed / 113 resolutions BUY No
$6,032 @ 95¢
2026-05-14 · 0x95074f70… · wallet history: $267,631 redeemed / 171 resolutions SELL No
$4,478 @ 96¢
2026-05-19 · 0x21d0c129… · wallet history: $8,000 redeemed / 1 resolutions BUY No
$4,146 @ 95¢
2026-05-17 · 0xe7499538… · wallet history: $337,989 redeemed / 39 resolutions SELL No
$3,895 @ 94¢
2026-06-03 · 0xc84f7e76… · wallet history: $0 redeemed / 1 resolutions Disputed precedents with similar wording
Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this
market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/is-jeffrey-epstein-alive-498.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.