Is Earth flat?
market:
Yes 1¢ / No 99¢
· liquidity $162,866 · ends 2027-01-01
·
market page ↗Turns on whether any reported evidence meets the undefined threshold of 'conclusive proof' and which sources count as 'credible reporting' on a pseudoscientific claim.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
No definition of 'conclusive' or 'credible reporting' standard; resolution hinges on subjective interpretation by consensus, not objective fact.
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $4,745. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
BUY No
$1,355 @ 98¢
2026-07-06 · 0x5e925066… · wallet history: $23,352 redeemed / 51 resolutions BUY No
$1,000 @ 98¢
2026-06-30 · 0x49ae18c8… · wallet history: $41,352 redeemed / 23 resolutions BUY No
$981 @ 98¢
2026-07-03 · 0x5e925066… · wallet history: $23,352 redeemed / 51 resolutions BUY No
$489 @ 98¢
2026-06-21 · 0x641381b7… · wallet history: $1,025 redeemed / 28 resolutions BUY No
$488 @ 98¢
2026-06-21 · 0x641381b7… · wallet history: $1,025 redeemed / 28 resolutions BUY No
$432 @ 98¢
2026-07-08 · 0x09bb9e26… · wallet history: $30,412 redeemed / 40 resolutions Disputed precedents with similar wording
Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this
market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/is-earth-flat-20260608195956112.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.