Indiana lions in custody by September 4, 2026 11:59 PM ET?
market:
Yes 0¢ / No 100¢
· liquidity $7,576 · ends 2026-09-04
·
market page ↗
Turns on whether captured animals can be confirmed to be the specific individuals sighted on August 27.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
On Thursday, August 27, 2026, the Madison County Sheriff's Department in Indiana received reports of a loose lion, and a drone operator told authorities they had confirmed sighting both an adult lion and a cub in a field. Sheriff's deputies and state police searched Hancock and Madison counties, but a roughly four-hour search using ground units and thermal drones did not locate the animals. You can read more about that here: https://wgntv.com/news/two-lions-are-on-the-loose-in-indiana-deputies-say/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the referenced adult lion and the cub are confirmed captured and placed into the custody of law enforcement or animal control by the specified date and time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be information from relevant law enforcement authorities and a consensus of credible reporting.
Requires 'the referenced adult lion and the cub' but lacks explicit protocol if law enforcement and credible reporting sources fail to reach consensus on animal identity
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $6,164. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
BUY No
$3,819 @ 95¢
2026-08-28 · 0x7c3db723… · wallet history: $48,850 redeemed / 8 resolutions
BUY No
$988 @ 99¢
2026-08-29 · 0xf0d5eb1c… · wallet history: $82,355 redeemed / 60 resolutions
BUY No
$790 @ 99¢
2026-08-29 · 0x93521335… · wallet history: $43,667 redeemed / 19 resolutions
BUY No
$567 @ 90¢
2026-08-28 · 0x7c3db723… · wallet history: $48,850 redeemed / 8 resolutions
Disputed precedents with similar wording
Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this
market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/indiana-lions-in-custody-by-september-4-2026-1159-pm-et.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.