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Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)

market: n/a · liquidity $99,535 · ends 2026-09-15 · market page ↗
Turns on whether goals scored in extra time count toward determining if Liverpool won by 3+ goals.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering

Resolution rules (verbatim)

In the upcoming EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) game, scheduled for September 15 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Liverpool FC" if Liverpool FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Tottenham Hotspur FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on efl.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Carabao Cup games can proceed to extra time, but rules limit scope to 'first 90 minutes plus stoppage time.' Ambiguity: does this mean only count goals within that period, or use the full-time score but clarify extra time doesn't extend market scope?

Disputed precedents with similar wording

Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).

Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Will the US not strike another country before 2027? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Will the US strike 4 countries in 2026? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2026-12-31

Machine-readable

This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/efl-liv-tot-2026-09-15-spread-home-2pt5.json. Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.

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