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Spread: Thailand (-1.5)

market: n/a · liquidity $28,545 · ends 2026-08-26 · market page ↗
Turns on whether the official final score (which may include extra time goals) or only the 90+stoppage-minute score determines the winner.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering

Resolution rules (verbatim)

In the upcoming ASEAN Championship game, scheduled for August 26 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Thailand" if Thailand win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Vietnam". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on aseanfootball.org. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Rules state resolution per 'official final score' but explicitly exclude extra time; if extra time is played, these directives could conflict.

Big money on this market

Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY Vietnam $2,945 · BUY Thailand $700. Displayed as evidence of informed interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.

BUY Vietnam $2,480 @ 97¢ 2026-08-26 · 0x821dab05… · wallet history: $0 redeemed / 14 resolutions
BUY Thailand $700 @ 20¢ 2026-08-26 · 0x800af3f8… · wallet history: $67 redeemed / 3 resolutions
BUY Vietnam $465 @ 93¢ 2026-08-26 · 0x0346afae… · wallet history: $4,329 redeemed / 13 resolutions

Disputed precedents with similar wording

Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-12-31
Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2027-12-31
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2027-01-01

Machine-readable

This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/asean-vie-tha-2026-08-26-spread-away-1pt5.json. Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.

unrekt resolver — independent resolution intelligence for prediction markets. We analyse how markets will resolve (rules, wording, precedent), not what will happen. We hold no positions. Every published read is timestamped and graded by the market's actual resolution. all wording-risk markets