{
 "market_id": "1125100",
 "slug": "will-united-russia-win-fewer-than-280-seats-in-the-next-russian-state-duma-election",
 "question": "Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?",
 "event_slug": "how-many-seats-will-united-russia-win-in-the-next-russian-legislative-election",
 "event_title": "How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?",
 "resolution_text": "Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.\n\nIf results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.",
 "end_date": "2026-09-20T00:00:00.000Z",
 "liquidity": 44609.98556,
 "volume24h": 8717.42,
 "yes_price": 0.0605,
 "no_price": 0.9395,
 "active": true,
 "closed": false,
 "crux_class": "wording_risk",
 "crux": "Turns on whether 'consensus of credible reporting' indicating irregularities overrides the official government seat count, or if official government sources are always binding.",
 "crux_note": "Conflicting resolution sources: rules cite both 'consensus of credible reporting' and 'official results' from CEC; contested Russian elections could trigger ambiguity.",
 "classified_at": "2026-08-24T02:24:01.108Z",
 "our_read": null,
 "our_read_note": null,
 "read_price_at": null,
 "read_published_at": null,
 "resolved_outcome": null,
 "graded": null,
 "last_updated": "2026-08-31T09:23:07.384Z"
}