{
 "market_id": "665374",
 "slug": "will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027",
 "question": "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?",
 "event_slug": "will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027",
 "event_title": "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?",
 "resolution_text": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.",
 "end_date": "2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z",
 "liquidity": 761045.187,
 "volume24h": 260082.86738799996,
 "yes_price": 0.155,
 "no_price": 0.845,
 "active": true,
 "closed": false,
 "crux_class": "wording_risk",
 "crux": "Turns on whether a limited military strike targeting specific assets (not aimed at territorial conquest) counts as 'an offensive intended to establish control.'",
 "crux_note": "'Intended to establish control' could exclude limited air campaigns or strikes if they lack explicit territorial goal",
 "classified_at": "2026-08-20T00:14:57.702Z",
 "our_read": null,
 "our_read_note": null,
 "read_price_at": null,
 "read_published_at": null,
 "resolved_outcome": null,
 "graded": null,
 "last_updated": "2026-09-01T10:23:07.067Z"
}