{
 "market_id": "2747434",
 "slug": "will-hamas-agree-to-disarm-by-december-31",
 "question": "Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?",
 "event_slug": "will-hamaz-disarm-by-december-31",
 "event_title": "Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?",
 "resolution_text": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Hamas officially announces it will disarm in the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"disarm\" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip.\n\nAnnouncements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrendering a class of weapons or agreeing to disarm in stages or a certain region) will qualify as long as it is part of an acknowledged disarmament process.\n\nOnly official announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.\n\nPrimary resolution sources will include official statements from Hamas leadership; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting confirming a policy of disarmament has been instituted will also qualify.",
 "end_date": "2026-12-31T20:00:00.000Z",
 "liquidity": 42059.9502,
 "volume24h": 10385.175237,
 "yes_price": 0.215,
 "no_price": 0.785,
 "active": true,
 "closed": false,
 "crux_class": "wording_risk",
 "crux": "Turns on whether a partial disarmament announcement must be framed as part of an existing or planned disarmament process.",
 "crux_note": "'Acknowledged disarmament process' is undefined—unclear if isolated partial-disarmament statements qualify or if they must reference a broader process framework.",
 "classified_at": "2026-08-21T16:24:20.651Z",
 "our_read": null,
 "our_read_note": null,
 "read_price_at": null,
 "read_published_at": null,
 "resolved_outcome": null,
 "graded": null,
 "last_updated": "2026-09-01T11:23:07.105Z"
}