{
 "market_id": "1811266",
 "slug": "will-china-invade-taiwan-by-june-30-2027",
 "question": "Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?",
 "event_slug": "will-china-invade-taiwan-by-june-30-2027",
 "event_title": "Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?",
 "resolution_text": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTerritory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
 "end_date": "2027-06-30T00:00:00.000Z",
 "liquidity": 105865.1833,
 "volume24h": 19.065216,
 "yes_price": 0.085,
 "no_price": 0.915,
 "active": true,
 "closed": false,
 "crux_class": "wording_risk",
 "crux": "Turns on whether limited military strikes qualify as a 'military offensive intended to establish control over any portion' of Taiwan.",
 "crux_note": "Requires intent to establish control but does not specify minimum scale—isolated strikes vs. full-scale invasion could both claim to 'intend control.'",
 "classified_at": "2026-08-23T21:24:01.708Z",
 "our_read": null,
 "our_read_note": null,
 "read_price_at": null,
 "read_published_at": null,
 "resolved_outcome": null,
 "graded": null,
 "last_updated": "2026-09-01T10:23:07.067Z"
}