{
 "market_id": "1364103",
 "slug": "will-afd-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-elections",
 "question": "Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?",
 "event_slug": "mecklenburg-vorpommern-parliamentary-election-winner",
 "event_title": "Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner",
 "resolution_text": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).",
 "end_date": "2026-09-20T00:00:00.000Z",
 "liquidity": 40261.5411,
 "volume24h": 8742.238083,
 "yes_price": 0.875,
 "no_price": 0.125,
 "active": true,
 "closed": false,
 "crux_class": "wording_risk",
 "crux": "Turns on whether market resolves as binary (Yes if AfD wins, No if any other party wins) or as multi-outcome (resolves to the name of the party that actually won).",
 "crux_note": "Question phrased as binary 'Will AfD win?' but rules state 'will resolve to the political party that wins,' creating ambiguity about resolution target format.",
 "classified_at": "2026-08-22T10:24:46.317Z",
 "our_read": null,
 "our_read_note": null,
 "read_price_at": null,
 "read_published_at": null,
 "resolved_outcome": null,
 "graded": null,
 "last_updated": "2026-09-01T12:23:08.641Z"
}