{
 "market_id": "1107307",
 "slug": "us-strike-on-colombia-by-december-31",
 "question": "US strike on Colombia by December 31?",
 "event_slug": "us-strike-on-colombia-by-january-31",
 "event_title": "US strike on Colombia by...?",
 "resolution_text": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.\n\nA strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a \"Yes\" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.\n\nAny strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nThis market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to \"No\" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.",
 "end_date": "2026-01-31T00:00:00.000Z",
 "liquidity": 24984.128,
 "volume24h": 5769.655965999999,
 "yes_price": 0.18,
 "no_price": 0.82,
 "active": true,
 "closed": false,
 "crux_class": "wording_risk",
 "crux": "Turns on whether a claim by Trump or the U.S. government that a strike occurred is sufficient alone for 'Yes' resolution, or whether credible reporting confirmation is ultimately required.",
 "crux_note": "Rules state Trump/US government claims qualify, but final sentence is incomplete ('regardless of'—regardless of what?), creating ambiguity about whether claims override the credible reporting requirement.",
 "classified_at": "2026-09-03T23:25:49.278Z",
 "our_read": null,
 "our_read_note": null,
 "read_price_at": null,
 "read_published_at": null,
 "resolved_outcome": null,
 "graded": null,
 "last_updated": "2026-09-04T01:23:08.961Z"
}