{
 "market_id": "2907324",
 "slug": "us-charges-hormuz-fees-by-december-31-2026-20260713151243236",
 "question": "US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?",
 "event_slug": "us-charges-hormuz-fees-byptptpt-20260713151243232",
 "event_title": "US charges Hormuz fees by...?",
 "resolution_text": "This market will resolve \"Yes\" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve \"No\".\n\nAny payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.\n\nThe announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nPayments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.\n\nThe resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z",
 "liquidity": 33578.18299,
 "volume24h": 9220.04593,
 "yes_price": 0.066,
 "no_price": 0.934,
 "active": true,
 "closed": false,
 "crux_class": "wording_risk",
 "crux": "Turns on whether applying a preexisting tariff specifically to Strait transit counts as 'newly imposed as a condition of Strait transit' under the rules.",
 "crux_note": "The exception clause 'unless newly imposed as a condition' creates ambiguity: does it require an entirely new fee, or can a preexisting tariff modified/newly applied to Hormuz qualify? Could affect whether tariff increases targeting Hormuz shipping resolve Yes.",
 "classified_at": "2026-09-12T07:24:31.682Z",
 "our_read": null,
 "our_read_note": null,
 "read_price_at": null,
 "read_published_at": null,
 "resolved_outcome": null,
 "graded": null,
 "last_updated": "2026-09-13T06:23:08.381Z"
}