{
 "market_id": "3949511",
 "slug": "next-mythos-class-model-released-by-september-4-2026",
 "question": "Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?",
 "event_slug": "next-mythos-class-model-released-by",
 "event_title": "Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?",
 "resolution_text": "On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nAny model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.\n\nIf a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however,  a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
 "end_date": "2026-09-04T23:59:00.000Z",
 "liquidity": 7531.8731,
 "volume24h": 14361.240405999997,
 "yes_price": 0.76,
 "no_price": 0.24,
 "active": true,
 "closed": false,
 "crux_class": "wording_risk",
 "crux": "Turns on whether variations like 'Mythos-tier' or 'Mythos-family' satisfy 'Mythos-class or similar,' and whether an open beta or rolling waitlist with unclear signup criteria qualifies as 'publicly accessible to the general public.'",
 "crux_note": "Definition of qualifying model name is vague ('or similar'); public access via beta/waitlist lacks specifics on capacity, timeline, or acceptance rate.",
 "classified_at": "2026-08-31T01:25:08.383Z",
 "our_read": null,
 "our_read_note": null,
 "read_price_at": null,
 "read_published_at": null,
 "resolved_outcome": null,
 "graded": null,
 "last_updated": "2026-09-01T12:23:08.641Z"
}