{
 "market_id": "2641011",
 "slug": "israel-withdraws-from-lebanon-by-september-30-2026",
 "question": "Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?",
 "event_slug": "israel-withdraws-from-lebanon-by",
 "event_title": "Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?",
 "resolution_text": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes\" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.\n\nThe Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.",
 "end_date": "2026-10-01T03:59:00.000Z",
 "liquidity": 84745.22433,
 "volume24h": 24,
 "yes_price": 0.014,
 "no_price": 0.986,
 "active": true,
 "closed": false,
 "crux_class": "wording_risk",
 "crux": "Turns on whether ongoing Israeli ground military operations in Lebanon constitute violations of a complete ground force withdrawal.",
 "crux_note": "Rules state 'all ground forces have withdrawn' but then say 'regardless of...ground incursions by Israeli forces continue.' A ground incursion by definition involves ground troops, creating tension with 'all forces withdrawn.'",
 "classified_at": "2026-09-02T05:24:28.254Z",
 "our_read": null,
 "our_read_note": null,
 "read_price_at": null,
 "read_published_at": null,
 "resolved_outcome": null,
 "graded": null,
 "last_updated": "2026-09-02T06:23:09.488Z"
}