{
 "market_id": "2641019",
 "slug": "israel-withdraws-from-lebanon-by-december-31-2026",
 "question": "Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?",
 "event_slug": "israel-withdraws-from-lebanon-by",
 "event_title": "Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?",
 "resolution_text": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes\" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.\n\nThe Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z",
 "liquidity": 54507.5311,
 "volume24h": 7629.474994,
 "yes_price": 0.07,
 "no_price": 0.93,
 "active": true,
 "closed": false,
 "crux_class": "wording_risk",
 "crux": "Turns on whether overwhelming consensus of credible reporting can resolve YES without an official Israeli government announcement.",
 "crux_note": "Rules state government announcement is primary source, then permit 'overwhelming consensus' as alternative. Ambiguous whether reporting consensus alone suffices or must confirm government statement.",
 "classified_at": "2026-08-31T06:25:01.108Z",
 "our_read": null,
 "our_read_note": null,
 "read_price_at": null,
 "read_published_at": null,
 "resolved_outcome": null,
 "graded": null,
 "last_updated": "2026-09-01T05:23:07.269Z"
}