{
 "market_id": "2641010",
 "slug": "israel-withdraws-from-lebanon-by-august-31-2026",
 "question": "Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?",
 "event_slug": "israel-withdraws-from-lebanon-by",
 "event_title": "Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?",
 "resolution_text": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes\" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.\n\nThe Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.",
 "end_date": "2026-09-01T03:59:00.000Z",
 "liquidity": 90692.14588,
 "volume24h": 15.239999999999998,
 "yes_price": 0.0005,
 "no_price": 0.9995,
 "active": true,
 "closed": false,
 "crux_class": "wording_risk",
 "crux": "Turns on whether an Israeli government announcement of withdrawal is binding if credible reporting consensus contradicts it.",
 "crux_note": "Rules allow Israeli announcement OR credible reporting consensus as sources; these could conflict if Israel announces withdrawal but journalists deny it occurred.",
 "classified_at": "2026-08-24T03:24:13.129Z",
 "our_read": null,
 "our_read_note": null,
 "read_price_at": null,
 "read_published_at": null,
 "resolved_outcome": null,
 "graded": null,
 "last_updated": "2026-09-01T06:23:06.914Z"
}