{
 "market_id": "3399450",
 "slug": "iran-leadership-change-by-october-31",
 "question": "Iran leadership change by October 31?",
 "event_slug": "iran-leadership-change-by",
 "event_title": "Iran leadership change by...?",
 "resolution_text": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nMojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.\n\nAn official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
 "end_date": "2026-11-01T03:59:00.000Z",
 "liquidity": 51877.4614,
 "volume24h": 6295.021938,
 "yes_price": 0.065,
 "no_price": 0.935,
 "active": true,
 "closed": false,
 "crux_class": "wording_risk",
 "crux": "Turns on whether partial incapacity (loss of military control, sidelining) counts as 'prevented from acting as de facto leader' or requires complete removal.",
 "crux_note": "'De facto leader' and 'prevented from acting' are undefined; unclear whether house arrest, hospitalization, or loss of key authority suffices.",
 "classified_at": "2026-08-24T03:24:13.129Z",
 "our_read": null,
 "our_read_note": null,
 "read_price_at": null,
 "read_published_at": null,
 "resolved_outcome": null,
 "graded": null,
 "last_updated": "2026-08-31T16:23:09.673Z"
}