{
 "market_id": "2737233",
 "slug": "iran-leadership-change-by-june-30-2027-674-937-179-655",
 "question": "Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?",
 "event_slug": "iran-leadership-change-by",
 "event_title": "Iran leadership change by...?",
 "resolution_text": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nMojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.\n\nAn official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
 "end_date": "2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z",
 "liquidity": 37744.8859,
 "volume24h": 7323.042262,
 "yes_price": 0.255,
 "no_price": 0.745,
 "active": true,
 "closed": false,
 "crux_class": "wording_risk",
 "crux": "Turns on whether an announced resignation (with effective date after June 30, 2027) counts as 'ceases to be de facto leader' by the deadline.",
 "crux_note": "The rule that 'An official announcement... will qualify for a Yes resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect' potentially conflicts with the requirement that he 'ceases to be the de facto leader... at any point between market creation and the listed date.' Does announcement alone suffice, or must actual cessation occur by June 30?",
 "classified_at": "2026-09-06T15:24:14.937Z",
 "our_read": null,
 "our_read_note": null,
 "read_price_at": null,
 "read_published_at": null,
 "resolved_outcome": null,
 "graded": null,
 "last_updated": "2026-09-06T17:23:07.051Z"
}