{
 "market_id": "3399430",
 "slug": "iran-leadership-change-by-august-22",
 "question": "Iran leadership change by August 22?",
 "event_slug": "iran-leadership-change-by",
 "event_title": "Iran leadership change by...?",
 "resolution_text": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nMojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.\n\nAn official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a \"Yes\" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.",
 "end_date": "2026-08-22T00:00:00.000Z",
 "liquidity": 39873.44322,
 "volume24h": 7042.282165,
 "yes_price": 0.0015,
 "no_price": 0.9985,
 "active": true,
 "closed": false,
 "crux_class": "wording_risk",
 "crux": "Turns on whether 'Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei' refers to the current Supreme Leader position (held by Ali Khamenei) or specifically to Mojtaba Khamenei, who does not currently hold that title.",
 "crux_note": "Market names Mojtaba Khamenei as Supreme Leader, but Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (his father) is the actual current Supreme Leader of Iran. This factual inconsistency creates ambiguity about which person/position the resolution hinges on.",
 "classified_at": "2026-08-20T13:40:11.622Z",
 "our_read": null,
 "our_read_note": null,
 "read_price_at": null,
 "read_published_at": null,
 "resolved_outcome": null,
 "graded": null,
 "last_updated": "2026-08-20T16:23:10.170Z"
}