{
 "market_id": "3710658",
 "slug": "houthis-successfully-target-shipping-by-august-31-2026",
 "question": "Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?",
 "event_slug": "houthis-successfully-target-shipping-byptptpt",
 "event_title": "Houthis successfully target shipping by...?",
 "resolution_text": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAttacks on military vessels will not be considered.\n\nMissile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.\n\nSeize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.\n\nQualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nIf a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.",
 "end_date": "2026-08-31T23:59:00.000Z",
 "liquidity": 2086.904,
 "volume24h": 15840.985205,
 "yes_price": 0.885,
 "no_price": 0.115,
 "active": true,
 "closed": false,
 "crux_class": "wording_risk",
 "crux": "Turns on whether disputed or unconfirmed Houthi attribution of a kinetic incident counts as 'material ambiguity' requiring the 3-day extension vs. sufficient confirmation for Yes.",
 "crux_note": "Attribution uncertainty clause allows resolution delay but confidence threshold for 'confirmed attribution' is ambiguous; could split on credible-but-disputed claims.",
 "classified_at": "2026-08-23T15:25:18.311Z",
 "our_read": null,
 "our_read_note": null,
 "read_price_at": null,
 "read_published_at": null,
 "resolved_outcome": null,
 "graded": null,
 "last_updated": "2026-08-24T14:23:06.343Z"
}