{
 "market_id": "4597026",
 "slug": "friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-october-31-2026",
 "question": "Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?",
 "event_slug": "friedrich-merz-out-as-chancellor-of-germany-before-2027",
 "event_title": "Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?",
 "resolution_text": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.",
 "end_date": "2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z",
 "liquidity": 31432.1267,
 "volume24h": 11799.79049,
 "yes_price": 0.135,
 "no_price": 0.865,
 "active": true,
 "closed": false,
 "crux_class": "wording_risk",
 "crux": "Turns on whether an announcement of resignation/removal (made before Oct 31) that takes effect after Oct 31 satisfies the YES condition.",
 "crux_note": "Base rule requires actual cessation by Oct 31; special rule resolves YES on announcement alone, regardless of effective date. These diverge if Merz announces Oct 30 but resignation takes effect Nov 15.",
 "classified_at": "2026-09-16T11:23:36.036Z",
 "our_read": null,
 "our_read_note": null,
 "read_price_at": null,
 "read_published_at": null,
 "resolved_outcome": null,
 "graded": null,
 "last_updated": "2026-09-16T13:23:08.623Z"
}