{
 "market_id": "3019823",
 "slug": "fetterman-leaves-the-democrats-before-the-midterms-20260720221037014",
 "question": "Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?",
 "event_slug": "fetterman-leaves-the-democrats-before-the-midterms-20260720221037014",
 "event_title": "Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?",
 "resolution_text": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by November 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAnnouncements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.\n\nStatements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
 "end_date": "2026-11-02T23:59:00.000Z",
 "liquidity": 22320.7568,
 "volume24h": 5843.367624,
 "yes_price": 0.085,
 "no_price": 0.915,
 "active": true,
 "closed": false,
 "crux_class": "wording_risk",
 "crux": "Turns on whether a party registration change, spokesperson statement, or news consensus counts as an 'official announcement' or 'formal leave' under the rules.",
 "crux_note": "'Official announcement' and 'formally leaves' are not defined. Separates from e.g. voting with Republicans; ambiguous what evidence suffices for formal departure.",
 "classified_at": "2026-09-10T04:24:14.558Z",
 "our_read": null,
 "our_read_note": null,
 "read_price_at": null,
 "read_published_at": null,
 "resolved_outcome": null,
 "graded": null,
 "last_updated": "2026-09-10T05:23:06.263Z"
}